UTSA vs South Florida Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight — College Football Week 11
South Florida is expected to dominate offensively and secure a convincing win against UTSA on Thursday, November 6. Analyst Ence predicts the Bulls will control the tempo and move the ball with ease. This matchup is crucial for South Florida to maintain its AAC and CFP ambitions.
The Bulls return home after a loss to Memphis but benefit from additional rest, while UTSA enters the contest full of confidence following a big win over Tulane. Despite that victory, several fortunate plays contributed to the Roadrunners' margin of success.
Expert Analysis and Betting Insight
“Expect USF to dictate the pace and get just about anything it wants offensively.”
South Florida’s explosive offense at home gives them the upper hand in this encounter. UTSA’s defense remains a major concern, with underlying metrics exposing significant weaknesses. Tulane, despite its mistakes, recorded a 13% explosive play rate, placing them among the national top 15 for the week — a sign of UTSA’s defensive vulnerability.
Best Bet Recommendation
- Pick: South Florida -13.5 (-115)
- Reason: The Bulls’ offensive efficiency and extra rest advantage align strongly in their favor.
UTSA’s previous victory may have inflated expectations, but turnovers and missed opportunities by Tulane masked their defensive lapses.
Author’s Summary
South Florida’s rested offense meets UTSA’s shaky defense, suggesting a decisive home win as the Bulls aim to revive AAC and playoff hopes.